Friday, May 8, 2015

Is Permatang Pauh Hadi’s Waterloo?


The talk amongst PAS circles was that Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail was not going to win the Permatang Pauh by-election by more than a 5,000-vote majority. This was because the PAS supporters in Permatang Pauh who number about 12,000 outnumber the PKR supporters.

The message that PAS was going to send to PKR and DAP is that since they did not assist PAS in the Rompin by-election then PAS was going to do the same in the Permatang by-election.

The PKR and DAP boycott of Rompin was a show of protest towards the PAS President, Abdul Hadi Awang, rather than a protest against PAS. PKR and DAP can no longer work with PAS as long as Hadi is still its President.

This is not only because of the Hudud issue but also because of the Kajang Move and the Selangor Menteri Besar crisis, which Hadi did not support, and which dashed the hopes of Dr Wan Azizah becoming the new Selangor Menteri Besar.

However, the supposedly PAS boycott of Permatang Pauh did not materialise. Most in PAS did not support the boycott and continued to support PKR. That was why Dr Wan Azizah won with a higher majority than expected.

This does not bode well for Hadi. Permatang Pauh showed that not all are behind him. And this would probably be more visible next month during the PAS party elections when it is expected that Hadi will face a challenge for the party leadership.

The future of Pakatan Rakyat depends on solidarity amongst the three coalition members. And solidarity can never be achieved unless PAS gets a new President. This would mean the future of Pakatan Rakyat hinges on PAS getting rid of Hadi and replacing him with someone more acceptable to PKR and DAP.

The question is: who is more important to PAS, Hadi or Pakatan Rakyat? If PAS was to have a chance at federal power it can only be through Pakatan Rakyat. This means Hadi needs to be sacrificed for the good of PAS and Pakatan Rakyat.

It would be impossible for PAS to retain Hadi unless it wants to remain as an opposition party forever. So Hadi might be ousted so that PAS can move forward and realise its dream of becoming the federal government.

No comments: